Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 3.158284 3.530905 3.934359 4.404377 4.937801 5.525405 6.223129
2024-10-27 2.487444 2.955282 3.497126 4.173610 4.999104 5.978126 7.233746
2024-11-03 2.164691 2.692445 3.335711 4.182693 5.276244 6.650896 8.526034
2024-11-10 1.973041 2.548131 3.279251 4.285535 5.647975 7.447564 10.036197
2024-11-17 1.798110 2.396956 3.185890 4.313601 5.904157 8.097356 11.402645
2024-11-24 1.655761 2.269549 3.103999 4.337572 6.142354 8.729485 12.797639
2024-12-01 1.535269 2.157685 3.028177 4.354888 6.361956 9.343678 14.220748
2024-12-08 1.399289 2.010007 2.885600 4.256452 6.392726 9.669204 15.221775
2024-12-15 1.302716 1.910369 2.802327 4.235088 6.532295 10.165721 16.539168
2024-12-22 1.212838 1.812704 2.712562 4.192799 6.629908 10.597421 17.787050
2024-12-29 1.182039 1.802058 2.753511 4.358237 7.075401 11.636539 20.194777
2025-01-05 1.116931 1.732319 2.695483 4.355807 7.237107 12.206399 21.823457
2025-01-12 1.047001 1.651525 2.616258 4.315596 7.337599 12.692405 23.383146
2025-01-19 0.946131 1.513542 2.433848 4.084521 7.080976 12.513239 23.649418
2025-01-26 0.899479 1.461940 2.391112 4.092298 7.253783 13.137373 25.572522
2025-02-02 0.873064 1.442280 2.400495 4.192441 7.604563 14.130234 28.370722
2025-02-09 0.836498 1.402465 2.371707 4.219783 7.818323 14.876196 30.742968
2025-02-16 0.802190 1.364140 2.342498 4.243165 8.025054 15.626628 33.220281
2025-02-23 0.769514 1.326451 2.311539 4.260060 8.219140 16.368681 35.774705
2025-03-02 0.723217 1.261253 2.225943 4.164005 8.173854 16.600713 37.172531
2025-03-09 0.690793 1.219357 2.180555 4.143157 8.281530 17.169920 39.446162
2025-03-16 0.657994 1.174771 2.127166 4.101889 8.341594 17.638891 41.535062
2025-03-23 0.652651 1.181355 2.171578 4.263328 8.853965 19.179950 46.556060